Pudge Shiva's Guard Timing
Shiva's Guard was bought 105 times on Pudge before 30:00 in this data; the most purchases (56.2%) came in the 25:00–30:00 window. The two 95% intervals overlap, so this sample shows no clear win-rate difference between buying Shiva's Guard by 25:00 and buying it later.
Details
Source: OpenDota public matches. These statistics are not filtered by patch; the patch shown is the latest one OpenDota lists. Patch released: . OpenDota's patch list has had no new entry for 195 days, so a newer game patch may already exist. How we calculate thisWin rate by purchase minute
| Bought | Purchases | Win rate | 95% interval | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| by 7:30 | 0 | — | — | No purchases |
| 7:30–10:00 | 0 | — | — | No purchases |
| 10:00–12:00 | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0%–79.3% | Low sample |
| 12:00–15:00 | 3 | 66.7% | 20.8%–93.8% | Low sample |
| 15:00–20:00 | 11 | 45.5% | 21.3%–72.0% | Low sample |
| 20:00–25:00 | 31 | 67.7% | 50.1%–81.4% | |
| 25:00–30:00 | 59 | 83.0% | 71.5%–90.5% |
Earlier or later?
DATA
- Bought by 25:00: 60.9% won (46 purchases, 95% interval 46.5%–73.6%).
- Bought between 25:00 and 30:00: 83.0% won (59 purchases, 95% interval 71.5%–90.5%).
The split at 25:00 is the time window edge closest to the middle purchase, chosen from purchase times only, never from results.
INTERPRETATION
This is a correlation, not the effect of the purchase. Purchase time and the result are linked both ways: a game that is going well brings gold sooner, and a game that is going badly delays every item. Do not read a higher bar as "buy it earlier and you will win more".
How this is measured
- Source: OpenDota item timing data for Pudge (parsed public matches). Only matches whose replay was parsed are included, so this is not every public game.
- The provider keeps a rolling window of recent weeks and does not filter by patch; the patch shown above is the latest one OpenDota lists.
- Each purchase counts once, so buying the item twice in one game counts twice. Purchases after 30:00 are not in the data. The time windows are the provider's.
- A time window needs at least 30 purchases (the site's minimum sample, the same as for matchups) before its win rate is shown; the page exists only while at least two windows reach it.
Shiva's Guard: item facts
- Cost:
- 4,500 gold
- active: Arctic Blast
- Emits a freezing wave that deals 260 magical damage to enemies and slows their movement by -40% for 4 seconds. Radius: 825
- passive: Freezing Aura
- Reduces the attack speed of all enemies by -45. Radius: 1200
Item text from OpenDota game data (English, as in the game client).