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Pudge Aether Lens Timing

Aether Lens was bought 304 times on Pudge before 30:00 in this data; the most purchases (33.2%) came in the 20:00–25:00 window. The two 95% intervals overlap, so this sample shows no clear win-rate difference between buying Aether Lens by 20:00 and buying it later.

Patch 7.41Updated: Purchases before 30:00: 304Not patch-specific
DetailsSource: OpenDota public matches. These statistics are not filtered by patch; the patch shown is the latest one OpenDota lists. Patch released: . OpenDota's patch list has had no new entry for 195 days, so a newer game patch may already exist. How we calculate this

Win rate by purchase minute

050100lowby7:30n=3low7:30–10:00n=12low10:00–12:00n=84712:00–15:00n=325315:00–20:00n=925920:00–25:00n=1015025:00–30:00n=56
Bars: win rate of games in which the item was bought in that time window (scale 0-100%, dashed line at 50%). Thin line: 95% interval. Time windows with fewer than 30 purchases get only a grey stub marked "low": too few games for a rate.
Pudge win rate by Aether Lens purchase time
BoughtPurchasesWin rate95% intervalNote
by 7:30366.7%20.8%–93.8%Low sample
7:30–10:001275.0%46.8%–91.1%Low sample
10:00–12:00850.0%21.5%–78.5%Low sample
12:00–15:003246.9%30.9%–63.5%
15:00–20:009253.3%43.1%–63.1%
20:00–25:0010159.4%49.6%–68.5%
25:00–30:005650.0%37.3%–62.7%

Earlier or later?

DATA

  • Bought by 20:00: 53.7% won (147 purchases, 95% interval 45.7%–61.6%).
  • Bought between 20:00 and 30:00: 56.0% won (157 purchases, 95% interval 48.2%–63.6%).

The split at 20:00 is the time window edge closest to the middle purchase, chosen from purchase times only, never from results.

INTERPRETATION

This is a correlation, not the effect of the purchase. Purchase time and the result are linked both ways: a game that is going well brings gold sooner, and a game that is going badly delays every item. Do not read a higher bar as "buy it earlier and you will win more".

How this is measured

  • Source: OpenDota item timing data for Pudge (parsed public matches). Only matches whose replay was parsed are included, so this is not every public game.
  • The provider keeps a rolling window of recent weeks and does not filter by patch; the patch shown above is the latest one OpenDota lists.
  • Each purchase counts once, so buying the item twice in one game counts twice. Purchases after 30:00 are not in the data. The time windows are the provider's.
  • A time window needs at least 30 purchases (the site's minimum sample, the same as for matchups) before its win rate is shown; the page exists only while at least two windows reach it.

Aether Lens: item facts

Cost:
2,275 gold

Item text from OpenDota game data (English, as in the game client).

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