Pudge Blade Mail Timing
Blade Mail was bought 228 times on Pudge before 30:00 in this data; the most purchases (31.6%) came in the 15:00–20:00 window. The two 95% intervals overlap, so this sample shows no clear win-rate difference between buying Blade Mail by 20:00 and buying it later.
Patch 7.41Updated: Purchases before 30:00: 228Not patch-specific
Details
Source: OpenDota public matches. These statistics are not filtered by patch; the patch shown is the latest one OpenDota lists. Patch released: . OpenDota's patch list has had no new entry for 195 days, so a newer game patch may already exist. How we calculate thisWin rate by purchase minute
| Bought | Purchases | Win rate | 95% interval | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| by 7:30 | 6 | 33.3% | 9.7%–70.0% | Low sample |
| 7:30–10:00 | 12 | 66.7% | 39.1%–86.2% | Low sample |
| 10:00–12:00 | 14 | 57.1% | 32.6%–78.6% | Low sample |
| 12:00–15:00 | 25 | 68.0% | 48.4%–82.8% | Low sample |
| 15:00–20:00 | 72 | 48.6% | 37.4%–59.9% | |
| 20:00–25:00 | 58 | 51.7% | 39.2%–64.1% | |
| 25:00–30:00 | 41 | 51.2% | 36.5%–65.8% |
Earlier or later?
DATA
- Bought by 20:00: 54.3% won (129 purchases, 95% interval 45.7%–62.6%).
- Bought between 20:00 and 30:00: 51.5% won (99 purchases, 95% interval 41.8%–61.1%).
The split at 20:00 is the time window edge closest to the middle purchase, chosen from purchase times only, never from results.
INTERPRETATION
This is a correlation, not the effect of the purchase. Purchase time and the result are linked both ways: a game that is going well brings gold sooner, and a game that is going badly delays every item. Do not read a higher bar as "buy it earlier and you will win more".
How this is measured
- Source: OpenDota item timing data for Pudge (parsed public matches). Only matches whose replay was parsed are included, so this is not every public game.
- The provider keeps a rolling window of recent weeks and does not filter by patch; the patch shown above is the latest one OpenDota lists.
- Each purchase counts once, so buying the item twice in one game counts twice. Purchases after 30:00 are not in the data. The time windows are the provider's.
- A time window needs at least 30 purchases (the site's minimum sample, the same as for matchups) before its win rate is shown; the page exists only while at least two windows reach it.
Blade Mail: item facts
- Cost:
- 2,400 gold
- active: Damage Return
- For 5.5 seconds, return all incoming damage, increasing the percentage by 85%.
- passive: Damage Return
- Everytime you are attacked, you return 10 damage plus 15% of the attack damage dealt to you.
Item text from OpenDota game data (English, as in the game client).