Should I Pick Pudge? Draft Checker
Pick up to five enemy heroes to see how Pudge has done against each of them in public matches. Of the 118 heroes with at least 30 games against him, Pudge does worst against Drow Ranger (34.3% of 73 games) and best against Winter Wyvern (67.7% of 31 games).
Details
Source: OpenDota public matches. These statistics are not filtered by patch; the patch shown is the latest one OpenDota lists. Patch released: . OpenDota's patch list has had no new entry for 195 days, so a newer game patch may already exist. How we calculate thisCheck an enemy draft
Pick at least one enemy hero to see how Pudge has done against it.
Hardest and easiest enemies for Pudge
Heroes with at least 30 games against Pudge, ranked by Pudge's win rate. The last column compares each matchup with Pudge's usual win rate in this data (50.7%).
| Enemy hero | Pudge win rate | 95% interval | Games | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Drow Ranger | 34.3% | 24.4–45.7% | 73 | −16.4 pp · Unfavorable |
 Largo | 34.9% | 24.3–47.3% | 63 | −15.8 pp · Unfavorable |
 Naga Siren | 35.6% | 23.2–50.2% | 45 | −15.1 pp · Unfavorable |
 Doom | 37.8% | 29.4–47.1% | 111 | −12.9 pp · Unfavorable |
 Bane | 39.5% | 26.4–54.4% | 43 | −11.2 pp · No clear edge |
| Enemy hero | Pudge win rate | 95% interval | Games | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Winter Wyvern | 67.7% | 50.1–81.4% | 31 | +17.0 pp · No clear edge |
 Morphling | 65.9% | 55.7–74.8% | 91 | +15.2 pp · Favorable |
 Death Prophet | 65.6% | 53.4–76.1% | 64 | +14.9 pp · Favorable |
 Brewmaster | 64.5% | 47.0–78.9% | 31 | +13.8 pp · No clear edge |
 Troll Warlord | 64.4% | 51.7–75.4% | 59 | +13.7 pp · Favorable |
INTERPRETATION
More than a hundred matchups are compared at once, so one or two of them can look clearly better or worse purely by chance. Check the interval and the number of games before reading much into a single row.
How the draft check works
For each enemy you pick, the checker shows Pudge's win rate in public matches where he faced that hero, the number of games and the 95% Wilson interval. Source: OpenDota hero matchups, not filtered by patch.
Reference: Pudge's win rate across all his matchup games in the same data, 50.7% (his wins divided by his games, summed over every enemy hero). It can differ from the overall win rate on the Pudge page, because the matchup data covers a different, smaller set of matches. The chip next to each enemy shows the difference in percentage points, and it says "Favorable" or "Unfavorable" only when the whole 95% interval is above or below the reference.
Draft signal: the games-weighted mean of those differences over the counted enemies, Σ games × (win rate − reference) ÷ Σ games. The range applies the same weights to the lower and upper ends of each enemy's interval. It is wide on purpose: one match can count in several of the picked matchups, so the games are not independent.
Sample threshold: an enemy with fewer than 30 games against Pudge is marked "Low sample" and left out of the signal. The matchup pages use the same threshold before they draw any verdict.
Item check: only Black King Bar, because whether an ability pierces spell immunity is the one item-related mechanic in the ability data (OpenDota game constants). Escapes, teleports and other mechanics are not tagged in the data, so the checker gives no advice about them.
There is no "pick score": one number would hide the sample sizes and intervals behind it.
What it ignores: the signal adds up one-on-one matchups. How the enemies work together, your allies, roles, lanes, rank and player skill are not in it, so it summarizes past games and does not predict this one. For both teams at once, use Draft Odds.