Pudge Aghanim's Scepter Timing
Aghanim's Scepter was bought 881 times on Pudge before 30:00 in this data; the most purchases (35.1%) came in the 15:00–20:00 window. The two 95% intervals overlap, so this sample shows no clear win-rate difference between buying Aghanim's Scepter by 20:00 and buying it later.
Details
Source: OpenDota public matches. These statistics are not filtered by patch; the patch shown is the latest one OpenDota lists. Patch released: . OpenDota's patch list has had no new entry for 195 days, so a newer game patch may already exist. How we calculate thisWin rate by purchase minute
| Bought | Purchases | Win rate | 95% interval | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| by 7:30 | 3 | 66.7% | 20.8%–93.8% | Low sample |
| 7:30–10:00 | 7 | 57.1% | 25.1%–84.2% | Low sample |
| 10:00–12:00 | 22 | 54.5% | 34.7%–73.1% | Low sample |
| 12:00–15:00 | 97 | 62.9% | 53.0%–71.8% | |
| 15:00–20:00 | 309 | 60.8% | 55.3%–66.1% | |
| 20:00–25:00 | 286 | 57.0% | 51.2%–62.6% | |
| 25:00–30:00 | 157 | 56.0% | 48.2%–63.6% |
Earlier or later?
DATA
- Bought by 20:00: 61.0% won (438 purchases, 95% interval 56.3%–65.4%).
- Bought between 20:00 and 30:00: 56.7% won (443 purchases, 95% interval 52.0%–61.2%).
The split at 20:00 is the time window edge closest to the middle purchase, chosen from purchase times only, never from results.
INTERPRETATION
This is a correlation, not the effect of the purchase. Purchase time and the result are linked both ways: a game that is going well brings gold sooner, and a game that is going badly delays every item. Do not read a higher bar as "buy it earlier and you will win more".
How this is measured
- Source: OpenDota item timing data for Pudge (parsed public matches). Only matches whose replay was parsed are included, so this is not every public game.
- The provider keeps a rolling window of recent weeks and does not filter by patch; the patch shown above is the latest one OpenDota lists.
- Each purchase counts once, so buying the item twice in one game counts twice. Purchases after 30:00 are not in the data. The time windows are the provider's.
- A time window needs at least 30 purchases (the site's minimum sample, the same as for matchups) before its win rate is shown; the page exists only while at least two windows reach it.
Aghanim's Scepter: item facts
- Cost:
- 4,200 gold
- passive: Ability Upgrade
- Upgrades the ultimate, and some abilities, of all heroes.
Item text from OpenDota game data (English, as in the game client).